【真题在线看】2019 MCM问题A:生态博弈

问题标题:2019 MCM问题A

年份:2019  
学生等级:本科生  
来源:MCM

问题

在根据史诗奇幻小说《冰与火之歌》系列改编的虚构电视剧《权力的游戏》中[1],龙之母丹妮莉丝·坦格利安养育了三条龙。刚孵化出来的龙很小,大约 10 公斤,一年后长到大约 30-40 公斤。它们会根据环境和食物量在一生中不断生长。

为了解决这个问题,假设这三条虚构的龙现在还活着。假设上面描述的龙的基本生物学是准确的。你需要对龙做出一些额外的假设,例如,龙能够飞行很远的距离、喷火和抵抗巨大的创伤。在解决问题要求时,应该清楚你的假设与动物的功能、大小、饮食、变化或其他特征的物理限制之间的关系。
你的团队被指派分析龙的特征、行为、习惯、饮食和与环境的互动。为此,你必须考虑许多问题。至少,要解决以下问题:龙的生态影响和要求是什么?龙的能量消耗是多少,它们的卡路里摄入量要求是多少?养活这三条龙需要多大的面积?需要多大的社区来养活一条龙,才能为龙提供不同程度的援助?在解决这些问题时,要清楚你正在考虑哪些因素。

与其他迁徙动物一样,龙可能会迁徙到气候截然不同的世界不同地区。气候条件对你的分析有多重要?例如,将龙在干旱地区、温带地区和北极地区之间迁移会对维持和培育龙所需的资源产生很大影响吗?

当你完成对龙的分析后,就起草一封两页的信给《冰与火之歌》的作者乔治·RR·马丁,指导如何维护故事的现实生态基础,特别是关于龙从干旱地区向温带地区和北极地区的迁徙。

虽然您的龙分析并不直接适用于真实的物理情况,但数学建模本身利用了建模情况时使用的许多现实特征。除了建模活动本身之外,描述和讨论虚构龙领域之外的情况,您的建模工作可能有助于提供信息和见解?

您的提交内容应包括:

● 一页摘要表,
● 两页信函,
● 您的解决方案不超过 20 页,包括摘要和信函,最多 23 页。
● 注意:参考列表和任何附录不计入 23 页的限制,应出现在您完成的解决方案之后。

注意:您不应使用未经授权的图像和材料,因为版权法限制其使用。请谨慎使用和引用您的想法和报告中所用材料的来源。

题目内容过长,可到文末下载完整版中英文真题


以下是英文版真题

Problem

In the fictional television series Game of Thrones, based on the series of epic fantasy novels A Song of Ice and Fire[1], three dragons are raised by Daenerys Targaryen, the “Mother of Dragons.” When hatched, the dragons are small, roughly 10 kg, and after a year grow to roughly 30-40 kg. They continue to grow throughout their life depending on the conditions and amount of food available to them.

For the purposes of this problem, consider these three fictional dragons are living today. Assume that the basic biology of dragons described above is accurate. You will need to make some additional assumptions about dragons that might include, for example, that dragons are able to fly great distances, breath fire, and resist tremendous trauma. As you address the problem requirements, it should be clear how your assumptions are related to the physical constraints of the functions, size, diet, changes, or other characteristics associated with the animals.
Your team is assigned to analyze dragon characteristics, behavior, habits, diet, and interaction with their environment. To do so, you will have to consider many questions. At a minimum, address the following: What is the ecological impact and requirements of the dragons? What are the energy expenditures of the dragons, and what are their caloric intake requirements? How much area is required to support the three dragons? How large a community is necessary to support a dragon for varying levels of assistance that can be provided to the dragons? Be clear about what factors you are considering when addressing these questions.

As with other animals that migrate, dragons might travel to different regions of the world with very different climates. How important are the climate conditions to your analysis? For example, would moving a dragon between an arid region, a warm temperate region, and an arctic region make a big difference in the resources required to maintain and grow a dragon?

Once your dragon analysis is complete, draft a two-page letter to the author of A Song of Ice and Fire, George R.R. Martin, to provide guidance about how to maintain the realistic ecological underpinning of the story, especially with respect to the movement of dragons from arid regions to temperate regions and to arctic regions.

While your dragon analysis does not directly apply to a real physical situation, the mathematical modeling itself makes use of many realistic features used in modeling a situation. Aside from the modeling activities themselves, describe and discuss a situation outside of the realm of fictional dragons that your modeling efforts might help inform and provide insight?

Your submission should consist of:

● One-page Summary Sheet,
● Two-page letter,
● Your solution of no more than 20 pages, for a maximum of 23 pages with your summary and letter.
● Note: Reference list and any appendices do not count toward the 23-page limit and should appear after your completed solution.

NOTE: You should not make use of unauthorized images and materials whose use is restricted by copyright laws. Please be careful in how you use and cite the sources for your ideas and the materials used in your report.

Reference

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